Towards a conceptual framework for family proofing policy (Relationships Foundation 2010)
The executive summary of a research paper introducing the 3D7L model (3 key domains, 7 critical levers of influence), which helps to analyse the effects of policy on family relationships and also families' ability to contribute to the key goals of that policy.
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China's one child policy and 24 million "bare branches"

15-Jan-2010


(Photo credit: Allianz SE) The Chinese Academy of Sciences published a report this week estimating that there will be 24 million “bare branches” – men in China unable to find a wife – by 2020.  This has its roots in the one child policy introduced 30 years ago, to curb soaring birth rates resulting from Mao’s population policy.  However, in the 1980s ultrasound technology permitted gender-specific abortion, leading to the current imbalance (120 boys were born for every 100 girls in 2006 – despite gender screening now being illegal, except for medical reasons). 

In the rural areas, only men can inherit land, and they are also responsible to care for their elderly parents; daughters become part of their husband’s family.  So customs regarding welfare and inheritance greatly favour the birth of boys.  The distortions this has caused are multiple: a couple’s only child is pampered and spoiled; one child may have to care for two parents and four grandparents; girls are frequently abducted and trafficked to areas with large gender imbalances; prostitution is soaring, to say nothing of the injustice of millions of unborn children being killed purely because of their gender.  Much of this stems from a policy decision that was made solely on economic grounds (to stem population growth), but failed to consider the relational implications of the policy.